Finnish president dismisses German warnings of Russian attack on NATO

Finnish President Alexander Stubb has questioned forecasts from German officials suggesting Russia could attack NATO territory by 2029, stating there are "neither facts nor evidence" to support the claim. Speaking to German newspaper Bild, Stubb argued that Moscow is unlikely to directly challenge the military alliance. However, he emphasized that member states must remain prepared for worst-case scenarios to maintain effective deterrence.

While Stubb expressed confidence against a conventional conflict, regional defense experts warn of ongoing non-conventional threats. Polish military analyst Col. Maciej Korowaj indicated that Russian intelligence is actively mapping NATO security responses across the Baltic Sea region. According to Korowaj, these activities aim to update operational plans for potential provocations, with risks expected to heighten in autumn. In response, regional allies are increasing intelligence coordination and hybrid defense measures.

Sources: Defence24, Portal obronny, Rzeczpospolita, TVP info