Concerns grow over Russian stability amid domestic crackdown and external risks

As Russia approaches parliamentary elections, public anxiety is rising during the traditional "Black August" period, driven by fears of a new military mobilization despite official denials. Reports indicate some citizens are liquidating assets and preparing to leave the country.

Simultaneously, the Kremlin has escalated domestic political repression. Authorities officially banned Yabloko, Russia’s last remaining anti-war political party, and sentenced senior opposition figure Lev Shlosberg to 11 years in prison. Meanwhile, analysts highlight growing systemic risks surrounding succession planning for 73-year-old President Vladimir Putin, pointing to a highly centralized system lacking a clear transition mechanism.

On the international stage, U.S. intelligence assessments suggest Moscow may attempt to test NATO’s collective defense resolve within the next few years using hybrid operations, cyberattacks, or limited military incursions.

Sources: Avaz, Danas, Index, Klix, Vijesti