Russian regime faces internal strain and growing security concerns ahead of elections

Ahead of upcoming parliamentary elections, Russia faces mounting political repression, succession uncertainties, and public anxiety over potential military mobilization. Authorities have banned the opposition Yabloko party and sentenced politician Lev Shlosberg to 11 years in prison, marking a further crackdown on dissent.

Simultaneously, citizens increasingly fear a new mobilization wave after the September vote, with reports indicating some are selling property to prepare for departure. Analysts also point to structural risks surrounding 73-year-old President Vladimir Putin's lack of a clear succession plan, alongside late-summer political volatility historically known as "Black August." Externally, American intelligence assessments suggest Moscow could test NATO's unity within coming years through cyberattacks, hybrid actions, or limited incursions.

Sources: Avaz, Danas, Index, Klix, Vijesti