Russia tests mobilization infrastructure as analysts expect long conflict

Reports indicate Russian military authorities have conducted logistical readiness exercises, including in the Kaliningrad region, to evaluate administrative and supply infrastructure for a potential new mobilization wave. Western intelligence assessments and analysts suggest Russian President Vladimir Putin may defer any formal call-up decision until after the State Duma elections in September.

The preparations come as high casualty rates and the escalating financial costs of contract recruitment strain Moscow's manpower reserves. Analysts note an expanded draft could support potential military offensives targeting strategic eastern Ukrainian positions, including Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. Western officials increasingly project that active military operations could persist through 2027.

Sources: Belsat, NEXTA, The Insider.