Future of Middle East conflict tied to sanctions and global rivalries

Six months after US and Israeli strikes on Iran, experts and diplomats say sanctions, diplomacy, and global power rivalries will determine the conflict's next phase.
Six months following joint military operations by the United States and Israel against Iranian targets, international observers and diplomats report that the regional confrontation remains unresolved despite significant damage to Tehran's military capabilities. Iran continues to exert strategic influence over the Strait of Hormuz, maintaining pressure on global energy markets and maritime trade.
According to analysis from Radio Free Europe and diplomatic assessments by Albanian Ambassador Zef Mazi, the next stage of the conflict will depend heavily on the duration of international sanctions, diplomatic efforts, and broader competition among major global powers, including Washington, Beijing, and Moscow. Simultaneously, regional security discussions in the Western Balkans, such as local disputes regarding Kosovo's Ibër River, are increasingly viewed by analysts as reflective of broader shifts in the international rules-based order.
Sources: BalkanWeb, Gazeta Tema, Koha
Sources
- Gazeta Tema — Përplasja për Rendin e Ri Botëror: Nga “Lufta e Ujit” në Ibër te Krisja e Hegjemonisë me Iranin dhe Rusinë
- BalkanWeb — “A mund të rikthehet diplomacia?” Analiza e REL: Çështjet që mund të përcaktojnë se çfarë do të ndodhë në luftën në Iran
- Koha — Çështjet që mund të përcaktojnë se çfarë do të ndodhë në luftën në Iran
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