Russia tests mobilization readiness as Western analysts prepare for prolonged war

Russian military authorities have conducted mobilization readiness drills, including logistics and supply exercises in regions like Kaliningrad, as speculation grows over a potential new draft following September's State Duma elections. While the Kremlin has not officially announced a mandatory draft, regional authorities have updated reservation protocols and established an electronic military registry. Rising sign-on bonuses for voluntary recruits and growing casualties continue to strain manpower reserves.

Western intelligence agencies and military analysts assess that upcoming offensives targeting major eastern Ukrainian strongholds, such as Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, will demand significant troop reinforcements. Consequently, foreign officials anticipate intensified combat that could extend into 2027, with any formal conscription decision likely postponed until after parliamentary voting concludes.

Sources: Belsat, NEXTA, The Insider.